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It's that time of the year again!

If you're an avid pageant fan, I'm sure you can feel the excitement in the air as the countdown begins to the most exciting pageant in the universe.

This year the competition seems better than ever with 80 girls competing, at least 30 frontrunners and about 10 stunners of almost equal ranks battling it out for the crown. This more than justifies the decision made by the Miss Universe Organization last year to call 15 women instead of the traditional 10 to compete for the title on pageant night.

Again I must say this year's batch is really amazing. Unlike last year where I felt perplexed at the end of the preliminary competition, this year I would not mind having any one of my top five picks go home with the crown. Personally I think these top five women are all deserving to be Miss Universe and as usual it will really boil down to having that spark and wit on finals night.

THE SELECTION PROCESS: As soon as delegate's photos are posted on the internet I go through them and start putting together what I call a short list (I have one dated as early as March of this year). As the competition goes on I monitor the daily events scouring pageant sites for reviews and the Miss Universe Press Site for photos. I look for beauty, class, elegance, bearing and spunk. In the end my decision is based on my revised list of favorites as well as the all-important preliminary competition photos.

My predictions are a mix of both 1.) the girls who I feel deserve to be on the list and 2.) the girls who I believe given the odds have a good chance at being there.

BATTING AVERAGE: I have been predicting since 1999 but have not documented till 2001. Since then I was able to successfully predict Puerto Rico in 2001 and Panama in 2002. I was a little off last year when Dominican Republic was only 3rd on my list. On an average I predict 7-8 out of 10 and in last year's case 12 out of 15 (I do not count my optional choices where usually another one or two gets in).
 
MY PREDICTIONS FOR 2004: Here’s who I have chosen this year.

If you have been here the last two days then you'll notice some changes. After much thought while sleeping last night I decided to change the order a bit. Taking out some from my 15 and bringing in some from the 16-20 list. Main reason for change was that I wanted to go for my gut.


1.) UKRAINE: From blonde bombshell to black-haired goddess, 22 year old Oleksandra Nikolayenko could have made the move of her life by deciding to change her hair color. This girl is hot and since arriving in Ecuador she has been stunning throughout managing to remain a favorite till the very end. In the preliminaries she was hot in swimsuit and just ok in evening gown (don't know if she would be better off in something else). I think she just needs to glow a little more in the finals; if she finds that spark she'll win for sure.

2.) USA: Definitely someone to watch out for, Shandi Finnessy is one of most natural beauties in the pageant, just as stunning without any makeup on. And though many believe Shandi has also one of best bodies in the pageant, it's her smarts that sets her apart from the rest. She's got that innate spark in her and if things go her way she could be the next Miss Universe. Personally I'd like to see her take home the crown.

3.) PARAGUAY: Without a doubt one of the best we have seen from this South American country, Yanina Gonzalez took my breath away when I first saw her photos in Quito. Others also started taking notice and she did not fail to disappoint remaining consistent throughout all the activities. She definitely excels in swimsuit and did exactly that during prelims. She was also stunner in evening gown though had slight problems walking in it. If she corrects this problem and has the wit to match expect her to take the crown on June 1st.

4.) GREECE: 23 year old Valia Kakouti has been at various places on my list due to inconsistent photos. Some were breathtaking; some were not; fortunately for her she was one of the stars of the preliminary competition making me consider her for the title. She was outstanding in evening gown and had one of the best overall presentations, so if her personality and intellect under pressure can match that; she'll definitely be the one taking home the crown.

5.) VENEZUELA: You must really give props to Venezuela for the way they prepare their girls. Most of them are usually top-five material; 19 year old Ara Karina Añez Delgado is no exception. She always remained in the mid-range of my list throughout the pageant but prelims changed all that where she proved she could be a front runner. With an amazing body and great gown presentation don't count her lower than 5.

6.) JAMAICA: Her looks are at par with those who are on top. She looks great in a swimsuit and had great overall performance during the preliminaries. However in my humble opinion Christine Straw is lacking something extra which is keeping her out of my magic five. Still you cannot beat consistency. At 24 her maturity can be a plus but we will really have to see for ourselves when the big night arrives.

7.) NORWAY: 24 year old Katherine Sorland has not lived up to her reputation as Miss World runner up. It's been quite a disappointment since she was way on top of my list for quite some time. In Ecuador she was photographed badly all throughout and during the prelims she failed to shine. On June 1 give her that sparkle, get her to change her evening gown and that "bad hairdo" and she might get farther than Top10.

8.) SWITZERLAND: Another simple beauty, Bianca Sissing radiates with this natural glow. She has this lightness to her and is one of the most elegant delegates in the competitions. Though in this pageant I expect her to better her 12th place finish at Miss World I don't think Bianca can compete with the elite level ladies placed above her. Nevertheless expect her to make the Top10.

9.) AUSTRALIA: From the beginning I always had Australia on my short list even when other critics hadn’t noticed. Though most of the time unsure something was telling me that 20 year old Jennifer Hawkins was special. At the preliminary pageant, this knockout lady from down under mesmerized the audience with a wonderful and consistent performance. Expect to her to excel in the swimsuit competition which is her forte.

10.) SPAIN: A friend of mine (who's half-Spanish) recently thanked me for my fondness for Spanish beauties. This appreciation actually dates back to 1999 where since then they have sent delegates who are not only beautiful but tastefully sexy. As expected Maria Jesus Ruiz is definitely the sexiest delegate this year; see her in swimsuit to believe. I would like to see her sport he naturally short hair but the extensions are also great. I don't think her overall chances for the crown are high but you can still expect her to do well.

11.) COLOMBIA: The preliminary competition is really where you make it or break it. In the case of 21 year old Catherine Daza it was the former. She really did turn heads during last week’s preliminaries and jumped from unnoticed to bet in the blink of an eye. If you look closely you’ll agree with me that this girl may not be as beautiful as a whole lot of others. Nevertheless it's her spotless consistency that will work towards her benefit.

12.) PUERTO RICO: One of my favorites in the very beginning then completely off my list for most of the pageant coverage, Alba Reyes mustered enough strength to bounce back. I think this girl could have performed better when it mattered most though; at the preliminaries she looked amazingly hot in her swimsuit but was plain and ordinary in her evening gown. She could still clinch it with a good interview. Expect her to win Miss Photogenic as well.

13.) CZECH REPUBLIC: Here’s another girl who isn’t a striking beauty but did well in the pre-pageant. 19 year old Lucie Vachova may be young but she is definitely skilled on the catwalk. She displayed her skills at both the fashion show and the preliminaries. She has an amazing body and at 5”10 has long beautiful legs. I’m not so sure about her choice of long gown but her beaming presence more than makes up for it.

14.) TRINIDAD & TOBAGO: The front runner among black delegates, Danielle Jones was forced to move several places down on my Top15 list due to her poor performance at the preliminary evening gown competition. then all of a sudden she haunted me during my sleep and I decided to place her on the list after all. Get her to change her evening gown and she'll do even better.

15.) ECUADOR: I think she has a big jaw and personally she is not a personal favorite for this last slot. But you can't discount the fact that she did well during the pre-pageant especially in swimsuit. Also not to be forgotten is that she's the hometown girl. Though my heart doesn't really say so I'm putting her on my list, I really have a feeling that she'll be in the top 15 but nothing more.

CLOSE SHOTS for the CUT view picks 16-20.
 

 

 
     
 

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